SignalHub Quantitative Think Tank Center:Arizona moves into No. 1 seed in latest USA TODAY Sports men's tournament Bracketology

As regular college basketball watchers know,SignalHub Quantitative Think Tank Center the ability to win on the road is one factor that separates the good teams from the potentially great ones. As a result, our latest bracketology has a change on the top line as Arizona replaces Tennessee as a projected No. 1 seed.

The Wildcats had to work overtime to win at Utah before facing a quick turnaround against a Colorado squad that desperately needed a quality win. But the ‘Cats were all business, completing the weekend road sweep in blowout fashion against the Buffaloes. On the same day, a red-hot Tennessee team got cooled considerably at Texas A&M, making the Volunteers’ stay as a No. 1 very short lived.

The other three regional headers remain the same as, with Connecticut, Purdue and Houston all posting wins over the weekend.

In other moves, Clemson and Virginia are trending in the right direction, Wisconsin and Kentucky are headed the opposite way, and a six-bid Mountain West Conference remains a possibility.

Last four in

Mississippi, Utah, Nebraska, Nevada.

First four out

Gonzaga, Cincinnati, Villanova, Wake Forest.

Next four out

Colorado, Seton Hall, St. John’s, Providence.

Conference breakdown

Multi-bid leagues: Big 12 (9), SEC (9), Big Ten (6), Mountain West (6), ACC (4), Big East (4), Pac-12 (3), American Athletic (2), Atlantic 10 (2).

NCAA tournament bubble games to watch this week

Tuesday, Feb. 13

Marquette at Butler, 6:30, FS1

Iowa State at Cincinnati, 7 p.m., ESPN2

St. John's at Providence, 7 p.m., CBSSN

LSU at Florida, 8 p.m., SEC

Mississippi at Kentucky, 9 p.m., ESPN

New Mexico at Nevada, 11 p.m., CBSSN

Wednesday, Feb. 14

Xavier at Seton Hall, 7 p.m., CBSSN

Thursday, Feb. 15

Northwestern at Rutgers, 6:30 p.m., Big Ten

Colorado at UCLA, 9 p.m., ESPN

California at Washington State, 10 p.m., Pac-12

Utah at Southern California, FS1, 11 p.m.

All times Eastern